FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Fixture · La Liga · Sat 07 Nov 2026, 17:30 GMT

Osasuna
v Athletic Club

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The model's read

Osasuna
38%
match result
Draw
29%
match result
Athletic Club
33%
match result
MarketModel probability
Double chance Osasuna or draw67.3%
Double chance Athletic Club or draw61.6%
Double chance either team71.1%
Over 1.5 goals74.4%
Over 2.5 goals48.0%
Over 3.5 goals26.2%
Both teams to score53.9%
Osasuna over 1.5 team goals39.3%
Athletic Club over 1.5 team goals35.0%
Osasuna clean sheet29.0%
Athletic Club clean sheet25.8%

Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.8% · 1-0 8.9% · 0-0 8.7% · 2-1 8.5% · 0-1 8.0%

Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.

Availability and rotation

No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.

Hot stats & streaks

Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.

Osasuna

  • Only 1 of Osasuna's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.

Players in form

  • A. Budimir has scored 8 goals in 11 league games this season.
  • Aitor Fernández has made 17 saves in 11 league games this season.
  • Sergio Herrera has made 11 saves in 11 league games this season.
  • Unai Simón has made 29 saves in 10 league games this season.
  • Álex Berenguer has 4 goals and 4 assists in 10 league games this season.
  • I. Williams has scored 3 goals in 10 league games this season.

This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.

Recent form

Osasuna

DateRScoreOpponentxG for-against
02 NovL1-2Deportivo La Coruna (A)1.1 - 2.4
26 OctL0-2Sevilla (A)0.8 - 1.2
18 OctW2-0Racing Santander (H)3.4 - 0.3
11 OctL2-5Real Betis (A)1.6 - 2.9
19 SepD1-1Rayo Vallecano (H)0.5 - 1.0
16 SepL0-4Atletico Madrid (A)0.5 - 4.0

Athletic Club

DateRScoreOpponentxG for-against
01 NovW2-1Real Sociedad (H)3.0 - 1.4
25 OctW4-0Getafe (H)0.8 - 0.4
21 OctL1-3Levante (A)1.9 - 2.0
17 OctD0-0Valencia (A)0.7 - 1.5
19 SepD0-0Alaves (H)1.6 - 0.1
12 SepD1-1Elche (H)2.4 - 0.8

Chance quality, most recent season

Osasuna
-0.07
xG diff/game · 1.42 for, 1.50 against
Athletic Club
+0.29
xG diff/game · 1.46 for, 1.18 against

Where they stand

TeamLeagueSeason PosP PtsPPGGoals Form
OsasunaLa Liga2026/271510111.110–20LWLDL
Athletic ClubLa Liga2026/27710151.514–10WWLDD

The table as it stands this season.

Home and away

TeamVenueLeagueSeason W-D-L Goals for / against per gameClean sheets
OsasunahomeLa Liga2026/272-2-10.8 / 0.63
Athletic ClubawayLa Liga2026/271-1-20.8 / 1.32

This season’s home and away splits.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings: Osasuna 2 wins, 4 draws, Athletic Club 4 wins — 2.4 goals a game on average.

DateHomeScoreAway
21 Apr 26Athletic Club1-0Osasuna
03 Jan 26Osasuna1-1Athletic Club