Fixture · Serie A · Sat 07 Nov 2026, 17:00 GMT
Parma
v Bologna
The model's read
Parma
16%
match result
Draw
27%
match result
Bologna
57%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Parma or draw | 42.8% |
| Double chance Bologna or draw | 83.8% |
| Double chance either team | 73.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.7% |
| Both teams to score | 44.7% |
| Parma over 1.5 team goals | 18.2% |
| Bologna over 1.5 team goals | 49.2% |
| Parma clean sheet | 19.1% |
| Bologna clean sheet | 46.1% |
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 13.4% · 1-1 12.4% · 0-2 12.1% · 0-0 9.9% · 1-2 9.3%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Bologna
- Bologna have won their last 3 league games.
Players in form
- E. Corvi has made 28 saves in 10 league games this season.
- S. Lontani has scored 3 goals in 10 league games this season.
- D. Romero has scored 2 goals in 10 league games this season.
- Ł. Skorupski has made 19 saves in 10 league games this season.
- Juan Miranda has 0 goals and 5 assists in 10 league games this season.
- F. Bernardeschi has scored 3 goals in 10 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Parma
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | W | 3-0 | Atalanta (A) | 0.4 - 3.2 |
| 28 Oct | D | 0-0 | Udinese (H) | 1.1 - 1.4 |
| 24 Oct | L | 1-2 | Lazio (A) | 0.9 - 1.8 |
| 19 Oct | L | 0-3 | Torino (H) | 1.4 - 1.4 |
| 10 Oct | L | 0-3 | Inter (A) | 0.4 - 2.4 |
| 20 Sep | W | 2-1 | Genoa (H) | 0.3 - 0.8 |
Bologna
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 2-1 | Monza (H) | 2.1 - 1.8 |
| 28 Oct | W | 4-2 | AC Milan (A) | 1.9 - 1.8 |
| 24 Oct | W | 2-0 | Cagliari (A) | 1.6 - 0.4 |
| 17 Oct | L | 1-3 | Inter (H) | 1.0 - 3.4 |
| 11 Oct | W | 2-1 | Lecce (A) | 1.6 - 1.3 |
| 19 Sep | D | 1-1 | Torino (H) | 0.6 - 0.8 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Parma
-1.09
xG diff/game · 0.74 for, 1.83 against
Bologna
+0.02
xG diff/game · 1.38 for, 1.37 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | Serie A | 2026/27 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 0.556 | 5–15 | DLLLW |
| Bologna | Serie A | 2026/27 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 1.4 | 14–13 | WWWLW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | home | Serie A | 2026/27 | 1-2-2 | 0.6 / 1.2 | 1 |
| Bologna | away | Serie A | 2026/27 | 3-0-2 | 1.6 / 1.0 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Parma 2 wins, 3 draws, Bologna 5 wins — 3.1 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb 26 | Bologna | 0-1 | Parma |
| 02 Nov 25 | Parma | 1-3 | Bologna |