Fixture · Serie A · Sat 07 Nov 2026, 14:00 GMT
Torino
v Lecce
The model's read
Torino
46%
match result
Draw
28%
match result
Lecce
26%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Torino or draw | 73.6% |
| Double chance Lecce or draw | 53.9% |
| Double chance either team | 72.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.4% |
| Both teams to score | 54.7% |
| Torino over 1.5 team goals | 46.2% |
| Lecce over 1.5 team goals | 31.2% |
| Torino clean sheet | 32.3% |
| Lecce clean sheet | 21.0% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.2% · 1-0 9.4% · 2-1 9.3% · 2-0 8.3% · 0-0 8.0%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Torino
- 5 of Torino's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Torino's last 6 home league games.
Lecce
- Lecce have lost their last 3 league games.
Players in form
- Lucas Perri has made 24 saves in 8 league games this season.
- C. Adams has scored 4 goals in 8 league games this season.
- G. Simeone has scored 2 goals in 10 league games this season.
- W. Falcone has made 37 saves in 10 league games this season.
- L. Coulibaly has scored 2 goals in 7 league games this season.
- Tiago Gabriel has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Torino
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | L | 0-2 | Frosinone (A) | 0.7 - 1.9 |
| 27 Oct | L | 1-3 | Como (H) | 1.0 - 2.1 |
| 23 Oct | W | 3-2 | Monza (H) | 1.3 - 0.6 |
| 19 Oct | W | 3-0 | Parma (A) | 1.4 - 1.4 |
| 12 Oct | W | 2-1 | Udinese (H) | 2.5 - 0.7 |
| 19 Sep | D | 1-1 | Bologna (A) | 0.8 - 0.6 |
Lecce
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | L | 1-2 | Genoa (H) | 1.0 - 1.3 |
| 29 Oct | L | 1-5 | Frosinone (A) | 1.5 - 3.1 |
| 25 Oct | L | 0-2 | Juventus (H) | 1.0 - 1.1 |
| 18 Oct | W | 3-0 | Udinese (A) | 3.5 - 0.6 |
| 11 Oct | L | 1-2 | Bologna (H) | 1.3 - 1.6 |
| 20 Sep | L | 0-3 | AC Milan (A) | 0.2 - 1.9 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Torino
-0.33
xG diff/game · 1.11 for, 1.44 against
Lecce
-0.80
xG diff/game · 1.09 for, 1.89 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino | Serie A | 2026/27 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 1.3 | 14–16 | LLWWW |
| Lecce | Serie A | 2026/27 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 0.9 | 11–21 | LLLWL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino | home | Serie A | 2026/27 | 2-0-3 | 1.4 / 2.0 | 0 |
| Lecce | away | Serie A | 2026/27 | 2-0-3 | 1.2 / 1.8 | 2 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Torino 6 wins, 1 draws, Lecce 3 wins — 1.9 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb 26 | Torino | 1-0 | Lecce |
| 30 Nov 25 | Lecce | 2-1 | Torino |