Fixture · Championship · Sat 07 Nov 2026, 15:00 GMT
West Brom
v Millwall
The model's read
West Brom
41%
match result
Draw
26%
match result
Millwall
33%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance West Brom or draw | 67.4% |
| Double chance Millwall or draw | 59.0% |
| Double chance either team | 73.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.0% |
| Both teams to score | 61.0% |
| West Brom over 1.5 team goals | 47.2% |
| Millwall over 1.5 team goals | 40.7% |
| West Brom clean sheet | 24.7% |
| Millwall clean sheet | 20.4% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.3% · 2-1 8.9% · 1-2 7.8% · 1-0 6.9% · 2-0 6.4%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
West Brom
- West Brom are unbeaten in their last 4 league games (W3 D1).
- Both teams have scored in each of West Brom's last 4 league games.
- West Brom have conceded in each of their last 7 league games.
Players in form
- M. O’Leary has made 42 saves in 13 league games this season.
- I. Price has scored 4 goals in 13 league games this season.
- A. Heggebø has scored 4 goals in 12 league games this season.
- C. Neghli has 3 goals and 3 assists in 13 league games this season.
- L. Dykes has scored 4 goals in 13 league games this season.
- T. Arconte has scored 3 goals in 8 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
West Brom
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 3-1 | West Ham (A) | 2.1 - 1.0 |
| 24 Oct | D | 1-1 | Preston (A) | 2.1 - 1.8 |
| 17 Oct | W | 3-2 | Blackburn (H) | 3.7 - 0.8 |
| 13 Oct | W | 2-1 | Wrexham (A) | 1.0 - 0.5 |
| 10 Oct | L | 0-1 | Birmingham (H) | 1.1 - 2.6 |
| 20 Sep | L | 0-1 | Wolves (A) | 0.3 - 1.9 |
Millwall
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 4-1 | Derby (H) | 4.2 - 1.3 |
| 24 Oct | L | 1-2 | Portsmouth (A) | 0.7 - 0.9 |
| 17 Oct | D | 2-2 | Lincoln (H) | 1.8 - 0.8 |
| 13 Oct | L | 0-1 | Swansea (H) | 1.1 - 1.0 |
| 10 Oct | W | 1-0 | Preston (A) | 1.1 - 0.7 |
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | West Ham (H) | 2.7 - 1.9 |
Chance quality, most recent season
West Brom
-0.05
xG diff/game · 1.39 for, 1.43 against
Millwall
+0.62
xG diff/game · 1.86 for, 1.24 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | Championship | 2026/27 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 1.846 | 19–14 | WDWWL |
| Millwall | Championship | 2026/27 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 1.385 | 23–21 | WLDLW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 3-2-1 | 1.5 / 1.0 | 1 |
| Millwall | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 2-1-3 | 1.3 / 2.0 | 2 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: West Brom 0 wins, 7 draws, Millwall 3 wins — 1.4 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr 26 | West Brom | 0-0 | Millwall |
| 04 Oct 25 | Millwall | 3-0 | West Brom |