Fixture · La Liga · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 20:00 GMT
Atletico Madrid
v Barcelona
The model's read
Atletico Madrid
26%
match result
Draw
23%
match result
Barcelona
51%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Atletico Madrid or draw | 49.4% |
| Double chance Barcelona or draw | 73.7% |
| Double chance either team | 76.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46.4% |
| Both teams to score | 67.7% |
| Atletico Madrid over 1.5 team goals | 42.6% |
| Barcelona over 1.5 team goals | 60.8% |
| Atletico Madrid clean sheet | 12.8% |
| Barcelona clean sheet | 23.4% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 9.9% · 1-2 9.2% · 2-2 6.7% · 2-1 6.5% · 0-2 6.3%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid have won their last 7 league games.
- Atletico Madrid have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 league games.
- Atletico Madrid have won 5 of their last 6 home league games.
- Atletico Madrid have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 home league games.
Barcelona
- Barcelona have won 5 of their last 6 away league games.
- 6 of Barcelona's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Barcelona have averaged 3.8 goals a game across their last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- J. Oblak has made 29 saves in 11 league games this season.
- Álex Baena has 5 goals and 3 assists in 11 league games this season.
- Álex Grimaldo has scored 4 goals in 11 league games this season.
- Raphinha has 15 goals and 3 assists in 10 league games this season.
- Lamine Yamal has 10 goals and 7 assists in 11 league games this season.
- Fermín has 5 goals and 5 assists in 11 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Atletico Madrid
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 2-0 | Levante (A) | 0.6 - 1.3 |
| 24 Oct | W | 1-0 | Deportivo La Coruna (H) | 1.4 - 2.0 |
| 20 Oct | D | 1-1 | VfB Stuttgart (A) | 0.9 - 1.5 |
| 17 Oct | W | 1-0 | Espanyol (A) | 1.4 - 0.6 |
| 13 Oct | W | 2-0 | Manchester United (H) | 1.5 - 1.0 |
| 10 Oct | W | 2-1 | Alaves (A) | 2.1 - 1.1 |
Barcelona
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 6-1 | Alaves (H) | 3.2 - 0.6 |
| 25 Oct | L | 1-2 | Real Madrid (H) | 1.3 - 2.0 |
| 20 Oct | L | 2-4 | Paris Saint Germain (A) | 2.2 - 3.8 |
| 17 Oct | W | 5-2 | Real Betis (A) | 3.0 - 1.0 |
| 13 Oct | W | 4-1 | Galatasaray (A) | 2.8 - 0.5 |
| 10 Oct | W | 3-0 | Getafe (H) | 2.0 - 0.1 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Atletico Madrid
+0.51
xG diff/game · 1.58 for, 1.07 against
Barcelona
+2.36
xG diff/game · 3.39 for, 1.03 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | La Liga | 2026/27 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 2.545 | 22–8 | WWWWW |
| Barcelona | La Liga | 2026/27 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 2.727 | 46–12 | WLWWW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | home | La Liga | 2026/27 | 4-1-0 | 2.2 / 0.6 | 3 |
| Barcelona | away | La Liga | 2026/27 | 5-0-0 | 4.4 / 1.0 | 2 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Atletico Madrid 3 wins, 1 draws, Barcelona 6 wins — 3.7 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr 26 | Atletico Madrid | 1-2 | Barcelona |
| 02 Dec 25 | Barcelona | 3-1 | Atletico Madrid |