Fixture · Premier League · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 14:00 GMT
Brighton
v Brentford
The model's read
Brighton
59%
match result
Draw
23%
match result
Brentford
19%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Brighton or draw | 81.3% |
| Double chance Brentford or draw | 41.4% |
| Double chance either team | 77.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.4% |
| Both teams to score | 59.6% |
| Brighton over 1.5 team goals | 61.4% |
| Brentford over 1.5 team goals | 30.5% |
| Brighton clean sheet | 32.9% |
| Brentford clean sheet | 12.6% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 10.5% · 2-1 9.9% · 2-0 8.9% · 1-0 7.6% · 3-1 6.8%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Brighton
- 5 of Brighton's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in only 1 of Brighton's last 6 home league games.
- Brighton have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 home league games.
- Brighton have averaged 2.7 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.
Brentford
- Brentford have not won any of their last 6 away league games (D5 L1).
- Both teams scored in 5 of Brentford's last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- B. Verbruggen has made 26 saves in 9 league games this season.
- P. Groß has 3 goals and 4 assists in 9 league games this season.
- Y. Ayari has scored 3 goals in 8 league games this season.
- C. Kelleher has made 27 saves in 9 league games this season.
- K. Schade has scored 3 goals in 9 league games this season.
- K. Lewis-Potter has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Brighton
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 1-0 | Manchester City (A) | 1.0 - 2.0 |
| 25 Oct | L | 0-2 | Liverpool (A) | 1.4 - 0.9 |
| 18 Oct | W | 5-0 | Crystal Palace (H) | 2.0 - 0.8 |
| 10 Oct | W | 2-0 | Sunderland (A) | 1.1 - 0.7 |
| 19 Sep | W | 3-0 | Arsenal (H) | 1.3 - 1.6 |
| 13 Sep | W | 5-0 | Coventry (A) | 2.8 - 1.3 |
Brentford
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 2-0 | Nottingham Forest (H) | 0.5 - 0.9 |
| 25 Oct | D | 1-1 | Hull City (A) | 1.9 - 1.9 |
| 17 Oct | L | 1-2 | Liverpool (H) | 0.9 - 1.5 |
| 10 Oct | D | 2-2 | Aston Villa (A) | 1.3 - 1.8 |
| 18 Sep | W | 3-0 | Chelsea (H) | 2.6 - 0.8 |
| 12 Sep | D | 2-2 | Bournemouth (A) | 0.5 - 1.8 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Brighton
+0.43
xG diff/game · 1.89 for, 1.45 against
Brentford
+0.23
xG diff/game · 1.61 for, 1.37 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | Premier League | 2026/27 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 2.111 | 24–7 | WLWWW |
| Brentford | Premier League | 2026/27 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 1.556 | 16–9 | WDLDW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | home | Premier League | 2026/27 | 3-1-0 | 3.3 / 0.3 | 3 |
| Brentford | away | Premier League | 2026/27 | 0-4-0 | 1.5 / 1.5 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Brighton 4 wins, 3 draws, Brentford 3 wins — 2.5 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 26 | Brentford | 0-2 | Brighton |
| 22 Nov 25 | Brighton | 2-1 | Brentford |