Fixture · Premier League · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 14:00 GMT
Crystal Palace
v Liverpool
The model's read
Crystal Palace
23%
match result
Draw
25%
match result
Liverpool
52%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Crystal Palace or draw | 48.2% |
| Double chance Liverpool or draw | 76.8% |
| Double chance either team | 75.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.5% |
| Both teams to score | 59.1% |
| Crystal Palace over 1.5 team goals | 32.8% |
| Liverpool over 1.5 team goals | 54.8% |
| Crystal Palace clean sheet | 15.9% |
| Liverpool clean sheet | 30.9% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 11.7% · 1-2 9.8% · 0-2 8.3% · 0-1 8.0% · 2-1 6.2%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Crystal Palace: another match 3d before (2026-11-05).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Crystal Palace
- Crystal Palace have lost their last 3 league games.
- Crystal Palace have failed to score in their last 3 league games.
- 5 of Crystal Palace's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Crystal Palace's last 6 home league games.
Players in form
- D. Henderson has made 19 saves in 4 league games this season.
- D. Kamada has 1 goal and 3 assists in 9 league games this season.
- T. Mitchell has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
- A. Isak has scored 6 goals in 8 league games this season.
- Alisson Becker has made 19 saves in 9 league games this season.
- C. Gakpo has 1 goal and 3 assists in 8 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Crystal Palace
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | L | 0-2 | Tottenham (A) | 0.2 - 3.3 |
| 25 Oct | L | 0-2 | Newcastle (H) | 1.8 - 1.0 |
| 22 Oct | D | 2-2 | Beşiktaş (A) | 0.4 - 0.7 |
| 18 Oct | L | 0-5 | Brighton (A) | 0.8 - 2.0 |
| 15 Oct | L | 2-3 | Lyon (A) | 1.6 - 1.8 |
| 11 Oct | W | 3-1 | Nottingham Forest (H) | 2.4 - 3.0 |
Liverpool
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | L | 0-1 | Arsenal (H) | 1.2 - 1.0 |
| 25 Oct | W | 2-0 | Brighton (H) | 0.9 - 1.4 |
| 20 Oct | W | 4-3 | Villarreal (H) | 2.4 - 1.6 |
| 17 Oct | W | 2-1 | Brentford (A) | 1.5 - 0.9 |
| 14 Oct | W | 6-3 | Lask Linz (A) | 3.4 - 2.1 |
| 11 Oct | L | 0-3 | Manchester City (H) | 0.9 - 1.4 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Crystal Palace
-0.77
xG diff/game · 1.23 for, 1.99 against
Liverpool
+0.18
xG diff/game · 1.36 for, 1.18 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | Premier League | 2026/27 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 0.778 | 9–21 | LLLWD |
| Liverpool | Premier League | 2026/27 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 1.667 | 11–9 | LWWLW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | home | Premier League | 2026/27 | 1-0-3 | 1.5 / 2.5 | 0 |
| Liverpool | away | Premier League | 2026/27 | 3-1-0 | 1.8 / 0.8 | 2 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Crystal Palace 3 wins, 4 draws, Liverpool 3 wins — 2.3 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 26 | Liverpool | 3-1 | Crystal Palace |
| 27 Sep 25 | Crystal Palace | 2-1 | Liverpool |