Fixture · Premier League · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 14:00 GMT
Ipswich
v Bournemouth
The model's read
Ipswich
17%
match result
Draw
23%
match result
Bournemouth
61%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Ipswich or draw | 39.2% |
| Double chance Bournemouth or draw | 83.4% |
| Double chance either team | 77.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.4% |
| Both teams to score | 55.9% |
| Ipswich over 1.5 team goals | 26.3% |
| Bournemouth over 1.5 team goals | 60.8% |
| Ipswich clean sheet | 12.8% |
| Bournemouth clean sheet | 36.9% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 10.7% · 0-2 10.0% · 1-2 10.0% · 0-1 8.8% · 0-3 6.8%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Bournemouth: another match 3d before (2026-11-05).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Ipswich
- Ipswich are winless in their last 3 league games (D2 L1).
- Ipswich have conceded in each of their last 9 league games.
- Both teams have scored in each of Ipswich's last 4 league games.
Bournemouth
- Bournemouth have won their last 3 league games.
- Bournemouth have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 league games.
Players in form
- K. Scherpen has made 16 saves in 9 league games this season.
- L. Davis has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
- J. Enciso has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
- Evanilson has 4 goals and 4 assists in 9 league games this season.
- M. Tavernier has scored 5 goals in 9 league games this season.
- Đ. Petrović has made 16 saves in 9 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Ipswich
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | D | 2-2 | Hull City (A) | 1.1 - 0.8 |
| 23 Oct | D | 1-1 | Nottingham Forest (H) | 0.5 - 2.3 |
| 17 Oct | L | 2-3 | Manchester City (A) | 1.7 - 3.6 |
| 10 Oct | W | 2-1 | Fulham (H) | 1.2 - 1.9 |
| 19 Sep | L | 0-1 | Everton (A) | 1.4 - 2.2 |
| 12 Sep | W | 3-2 | Crystal Palace (A) | 1.7 - 0.6 |
Bournemouth
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 2-0 | Leeds (H) | 1.3 - 0.7 |
| 25 Oct | W | 3-0 | Manchester United (A) | 2.2 - 1.2 |
| 22 Oct | W | 3-0 | AC Milan (H) | 3.2 - 0.2 |
| 18 Oct | W | 2-0 | Sunderland (H) | 4.4 - 0.1 |
| 15 Oct | W | 3-0 | Sturm Graz (H) | 2.7 - 0.4 |
| 10 Oct | L | 1-5 | Chelsea (A) | 1.5 - 1.2 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Ipswich
-0.60
xG diff/game · 1.34 for, 1.93 against
Bournemouth
+0.66
xG diff/game · 1.79 for, 1.13 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | Premier League | 2026/27 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 1.222 | 14–18 | DDLWL |
| Bournemouth | Premier League | 2026/27 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 1.333 | 14–13 | WWWLL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | home | Premier League | 2026/27 | 2-1-1 | 1.3 / 1.3 | 0 |
| Bournemouth | away | Premier League | 2026/27 | 1-1-2 | 1.8 / 2.3 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 6 meetings: Ipswich 1 wins, 4 draws, Bournemouth 1 wins — 3.0 goals a game on average.
Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.