Fixture · Serie A · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 11:30 GMT
Napoli
v Lazio
The model's read
Napoli
50%
match result
Draw
27%
match result
Lazio
23%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Napoli or draw | 76.9% |
| Double chance Lazio or draw | 49.7% |
| Double chance either team | 73.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.7% |
| Both teams to score | 54.7% |
| Napoli over 1.5 team goals | 50.0% |
| Lazio over 1.5 team goals | 29.1% |
| Napoli clean sheet | 34.2% |
| Lazio clean sheet | 18.7% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.6% · 2-1 9.6% · 1-0 9.6% · 2-0 9.0% · 0-0 7.5%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Lazio
- Lazio are unbeaten in their last 11 league games (W10 D1).
- Lazio have won their last 6 league games.
- Lazio have won 5 of their last 6 away league games.
- Lazio have averaged 2.3 goals a game across their last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- A. Meret has made 18 saves in 8 league games this season.
- M. Politano has 2 goals and 3 assists in 10 league games this season.
- R. Højlund has scored 3 goals in 9 league games this season.
- C. Mandas has made 33 saves in 10 league games this season.
- M. Zaccagni has 2 goals and 5 assists in 10 league games this season.
- T. Noslin has 4 goals and 3 assists in 10 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Napoli
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | L | 0-2 | Juventus (A) | 0.4 - 0.9 |
| 28 Oct | W | 4-1 | Monza (A) | 1.4 - 0.8 |
| 24 Oct | D | 3-3 | AS Roma (H) | 2.4 - 1.9 |
| 20 Oct | W | 4-3 | Bodo/Glimt (H) | 1.6 - 2.5 |
| 17 Oct | L | 0-1 | Venezia (A) | 2.5 - 0.7 |
| 13 Oct | L | 1-3 | Villarreal (A) | 1.9 - 1.4 |
Lazio
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | W | 2-1 | Cagliari (H) | 1.0 - 1.1 |
| 27 Oct | W | 6-2 | Sassuolo (A) | 3.4 - 0.8 |
| 24 Oct | W | 2-1 | Parma (H) | 1.8 - 0.9 |
| 18 Oct | W | 3-0 | Juventus (A) | 0.6 - 0.8 |
| 11 Oct | W | 3-1 | Monza (H) | 1.6 - 1.9 |
| 19 Sep | W | 2-0 | Venezia (A) | 1.6 - 1.9 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Napoli
+0.47
xG diff/game · 1.67 for, 1.20 against
Lazio
+0.45
xG diff/game · 1.60 for, 1.15 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | Serie A | 2026/27 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 1.4 | 17–13 | LWDLW |
| Lazio | Serie A | 2026/27 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 2.8 | 24–8 | WWWWW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | home | Serie A | 2026/27 | 2-1-1 | 2.0 / 1.3 | 2 |
| Lazio | away | Serie A | 2026/27 | 5-0-0 | 2.8 / 0.6 | 3 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Napoli 3 wins, 2 draws, Lazio 5 wins — 2.3 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 26 | Napoli | 0-2 | Lazio |
| 04 Jan 26 | Lazio | 0-2 | Napoli |