Fixture · La Liga · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 15:15 GMT
Real Sociedad
v Rayo Vallecano
The model's read
Real Sociedad
44%
match result
Draw
24%
match result
Rayo Vallecano
31%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Real Sociedad or draw | 68.5% |
| Double chance Rayo Vallecano or draw | 55.6% |
| Double chance either team | 75.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.2% |
| Both teams to score | 68.0% |
| Real Sociedad over 1.5 team goals | 56.1% |
| Rayo Vallecano over 1.5 team goals | 46.4% |
| Real Sociedad clean sheet | 20.9% |
| Rayo Vallecano clean sheet | 15.3% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 10.3% · 2-1 8.8% · 1-2 7.3% · 2-2 6.9% · 2-0 5.6%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Real Sociedad: another match 3d before (2026-11-05).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Real Sociedad
- Both teams have scored in each of Real Sociedad's last 5 league games.
- 5 of Real Sociedad's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Real Sociedad have conceded in each of their last 7 league games.
Rayo Vallecano
- Both teams scored in 6 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- Álex Remiro has made 35 saves in 11 league games this season.
- L. Sučić has scored 4 goals in 11 league games this season.
- O. Óskarsson has scored 3 goals in 10 league games this season.
- Sergio Camello has scored 7 goals in 10 league games this season.
- E. Audero has made 21 saves in 7 league games this season.
- Álvaro García has scored 3 goals in 10 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Real Sociedad
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | L | 1-2 | Athletic Club (A) | 1.4 - 3.0 |
| 25 Oct | W | 2-1 | Levante (H) | 2.5 - 0.7 |
| 22 Oct | W | 6-0 | Lillestrom (A) | 2.2 - 1.9 |
| 18 Oct | W | 5-2 | Malaga (A) | 2.4 - 1.1 |
| 15 Oct | D | 1-1 | Union St. Gilloise (A) | 0.7 - 2.1 |
| 11 Oct | W | 3-2 | Deportivo La Coruna (H) | 1.5 - 2.0 |
Rayo Vallecano
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 3-0 | Celta Vigo (H) | 1.1 - 1.3 |
| 24 Oct | L | 0-3 | Elche (H) | 1.6 - 2.6 |
| 19 Oct | D | 1-1 | Getafe (A) | 2.1 - 0.7 |
| 19 Sep | D | 1-1 | Osasuna (A) | 1.0 - 0.5 |
| 15 Sep | W | 2-1 | Espanyol (H) | 1.5 - 1.5 |
| 12 Sep | L | 1-4 | Real Madrid (A) | 1.2 - 2.6 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Real Sociedad
-0.17
xG diff/game · 1.48 for, 1.65 against
Rayo Vallecano
-0.29
xG diff/game · 1.37 for, 1.66 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | La Liga | 2026/27 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 1.727 | 20–20 | LWWWW |
| Rayo Vallecano | La Liga | 2026/27 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 1.2 | 15–20 | WLDDW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | home | La Liga | 2026/27 | 3-1-1 | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1 |
| Rayo Vallecano | away | La Liga | 2026/27 | 0-2-3 | 1.2 / 2.6 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Real Sociedad 3 wins, 5 draws, Rayo Vallecano 2 wins — 2.9 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr 26 | Rayo Vallecano | 3-3 | Real Sociedad |
| 05 Oct 25 | Real Sociedad | 0-1 | Rayo Vallecano |