Fixture · Premier League · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 14:00 GMT
Sunderland
v Chelsea
The model's read
Sunderland
44%
match result
Draw
26%
match result
Chelsea
30%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Sunderland or draw | 69.5% |
| Double chance Chelsea or draw | 56.1% |
| Double chance either team | 74.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.7% |
| Both teams to score | 62.8% |
| Sunderland over 1.5 team goals | 51.0% |
| Chelsea over 1.5 team goals | 40.8% |
| Sunderland clean sheet | 24.7% |
| Chelsea clean sheet | 18.1% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 11.7% · 2-1 9.1% · 1-2 7.5% · 1-0 6.6% · 2-0 6.5%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Sunderland: another match 3d before (2026-11-05).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Sunderland
- Sunderland are winless in their last 7 league games (D2 L5).
- Only 1 of Sunderland's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in only 1 of Sunderland's last 6 home league games.
- Sunderland have scored just 3 goals across their last 6 home league games.
Players in form
- B. Brobbey has scored 3 goals in 7 league games this season.
- R. Roefs has made 16 saves in 9 league games this season.
- E. Le Fée has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
- João Pedro has 5 goals and 3 assists in 6 league games this season.
- E. Martínez has made 25 saves in 6 league games this season.
- M. Rogers has scored 5 goals in 9 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Sunderland
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | L | 1-3 | Coventry (A) | 1.7 - 0.8 |
| 25 Oct | D | 0-0 | Leeds (H) | 1.0 - 0.6 |
| 22 Oct | D | 1-1 | Lech Poznan (A) | 2.8 - 2.5 |
| 18 Oct | L | 0-2 | Bournemouth (A) | 0.1 - 4.4 |
| 15 Oct | W | 2-1 | Torreense (A) | 1.8 - 0.1 |
| 10 Oct | L | 0-2 | Brighton (H) | 0.7 - 1.1 |
Chelsea
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 2-0 | Manchester United (H) | 2.7 - 1.2 |
| 24 Oct | L | 0-2 | Tottenham (H) | 0.5 - 0.8 |
| 17 Oct | W | 2-0 | Everton (A) | 1.6 - 0.5 |
| 10 Oct | W | 5-1 | Bournemouth (H) | 1.2 - 1.5 |
| 18 Sep | L | 0-3 | Brentford (A) | 0.8 - 2.6 |
| 12 Sep | D | 2-2 | Hull City (H) | 0.9 - 1.4 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Sunderland
-0.26
xG diff/game · 1.45 for, 1.72 against
Chelsea
-0.02
xG diff/game · 1.41 for, 1.43 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | Premier League | 2026/27 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 0.556 | 7–17 | LDLLL |
| Chelsea | Premier League | 2026/27 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 1.778 | 19–15 | WLWWL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | home | Premier League | 2026/27 | 1-1-2 | 0.3 / 1.0 | 2 |
| Chelsea | away | Premier League | 2026/27 | 2-0-2 | 1.5 / 1.8 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Sunderland 5 wins, 1 draws, Chelsea 4 wins — 3.2 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 26 | Sunderland | 2-1 | Chelsea |
| 25 Oct 25 | Chelsea | 1-2 | Sunderland |