FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Fixture · Serie B · Sun 11 Oct 2026, 18:30 BST

Modena
v Hellas Verona

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The model's read

Not enough matches played yet this season for a model read on this fixture. It appears automatically once both sides pass the warm-up.

The market’s read

Modena
45%
market implied · price 2.05 · opened 47%
Draw
29%
market implied · price 3.19 · opened 28%
Hellas Verona
26%
market implied · price 3.65 · opened 25%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance Modena or draw1.2674.5%-0.8 pts
Double chance Hellas Verona or draw1.7453.8%+1.5 pts
Double chance either team1.3171.6%-0.7 pts
Draw no bet — Modena1.4663.4%-1.5 pts
Draw no bet — Hellas Verona2.5336.6%+1.5 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.3071.7%+0.2 pts
Over 2.5 goals2.0147.0%-0.2 pts
Over 3.5 goals3.4327.2%+0.1 pts
Both teams to score1.7952.1%+0.6 pts
Modena over 1.5 team goals2.1144.3%-0.7 pts
Hellas Verona over 1.5 team goals3.1429.7%+0.9 pts
Modena clean sheet2.5037.5%+0.0 pts
Hellas Verona clean sheet4.0023.4%+0.0 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.01 · 1-0 6.97 · 2-1 8.32 · 0-0 8.91 · 2-0 9.67

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-10-11 08:06 UTC. Refreshed through the final two hours before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.

Availability and rotation

No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.

Hot stats & streaks

Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.

Players in form

  • Giuseppe Ambrosino has 2 assists in 2 league games this season.

This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.

Recent form — Modena

DateRScoreOpponentxG for-against
20 SepW2-1Empoli (H)1.7 - 0.7
12 SepD1-1Sudtirol (A)0.9 - 0.7
06 SepL0-1Avellino (H)2.0 - 0.4
28 AugW3-0Cremonese (A)0.6 - 0.4
22 AugW2-1Benevento (A)0.5 - 0.5
12 MayL0-1Juve Stabia (H)1.0 - 0.3

Recent form — Hellas Verona

DateRScoreOpponentxG for-against
20 SepW2-1Vicenza Virtus (H)—
11 SepL1-3Benevento (A)1.4 - 1.1
06 SepW5-0Arezzo (H)—
29 AugD1-1Padova (A)1.7 - 0.9
23 AugL1-2Ascoli (H)2.6 - 0.9
24 MayL0-2AS Roma (H)0.8 - 3.4

Chance quality, most recent season

Modena
+0.62
xG diff/game · 1.16 for, 0.54 against
Hellas Verona
+0.90
xG diff/game · 1.89 for, 0.99 against

Where they stand

TeamLeagueSeason PosP PtsPPGGoals Form
ModenaSerie B2026/2765102.08–4WDLWW
Hellas VeronaSerie B2026/279571.410–7WLWDL

The table as it stands this season.

Home and away

TeamVenueLeagueSeason W-D-L Goals for / against per gameClean sheets
ModenahomeSerie B2026/270-0-10.0 / 1.00
Hellas VeronaawaySerie B2026/270-1-11.0 / 2.00

This season’s home and away splits.

Head to head

Last 1 meetings: Modena 0 wins, 0 draws, Hellas Verona 1 wins — 5.0 goals a game on average.

Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.