Fixture · 2. Bundesliga · Sat 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST
Dynamo Dresden
v 1. FC Magdeburg
The model's read
Dynamo Dresden
40%
match result
Draw
28%
match result
1. FC Magdeburg
32%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Dynamo Dresden or draw | 68.0% |
| Double chance 1. FC Magdeburg or draw | 59.9% |
| Double chance either team | 72.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.4% |
| Both teams to score | 56.6% |
| Dynamo Dresden over 1.5 team goals | 42.8% |
| 1. FC Magdeburg over 1.5 team goals | 36.6% |
| Dynamo Dresden clean sheet | 27.8% |
| 1. FC Magdeburg clean sheet | 23.3% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.3% · 2-1 8.8% · 1-0 8.2% · 1-2 7.7% · 0-0 7.7%
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Dynamo Dresden
- Dynamo Dresden are winless in their last 5 league games (D2 L3).
- Both teams have scored in each of Dynamo Dresden's last 5 league games.
- 5 of Dynamo Dresden's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Dynamo Dresden have averaged 2.2 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.
1. FC Magdeburg
- 1. FC Magdeburg are unbeaten in their last 3 league games (W2 D1).
- 1. FC Magdeburg have averaged 2.2 goals a game across their last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- J. Sterner has scored 2 goals in 3 league games this season.
- T. Schreiber has made 11 saves in 3 league games this season.
- Alexander Nollenberger has scored 2 goals in 2 league games this season.
- Dominik Reimann has made 12 saves in 2 league games this season.
- Barış Atik has 2 assists in 2 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Dynamo Dresden
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | D | 1-1 | VfL Osnabrück (A) | 0.6 - 1.5 |
| 19 Sep | L | 1-2 | Hertha BSC (H) | — |
| 12 Sep | D | 2-2 | Eintracht Braunschweig (A) | 1.0 - 1.3 |
| 05 Sep | L | 1-2 | VfL Bochum (H) | 1.8 - 1.4 |
| 29 Aug | L | 3-5 | 1. FC Heidenheim (A) | 1.5 - 3.2 |
| 16 Aug | W | 1-0 | SV Darmstadt 98 (H) | 0.6 - 0.4 |
Recent form — 1. FC Magdeburg
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | W | 3-0 | Hannover 96 (H) | 1.4 - 0.9 |
| 18 Sep | D | 1-1 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth (A) | 0.9 - 0.7 |
| 12 Sep | W | 3-0 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern (H) | 1.1 - 1.1 |
| 06 Sep | L | 1-2 | Hertha BSC (A) | 0.9 - 1.3 |
| 30 Aug | W | 2-0 | Holstein Kiel (H) | 0.8 - 2.1 |
| 15 Aug | W | 3-0 | VfL Osnabrück (A) | 1.7 - 0.9 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Dynamo Dresden
-0.52
xG diff/game · 1.14 for, 1.65 against
1. FC Magdeburg
-0.31
xG diff/game · 1.16 for, 1.47 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 0.8 | 7–12 | DLLWL |
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 1.667 | 11–9 | DWLWW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden | home | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 1-0-1 | 1.0 / 1.0 | 1 |
| 1. FC Magdeburg | away | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 1-0-1 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 9 meetings: Dynamo Dresden 4 wins, 4 draws, 1. FC Magdeburg 1 wins — 3.0 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 26 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1-2 | Dynamo Dresden |
| 09 Aug 25 | Dynamo Dresden | 1-2 | 1. FC Magdeburg |