Fixture · Serie B · Sat 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 BST
Juve Stabia
v Sudtirol
The model's read
Juve Stabia
46%
match result
Draw
31%
match result
Sudtirol
23%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Juve Stabia or draw | 76.5% |
| Double chance Sudtirol or draw | 54.2% |
| Double chance either team | 69.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18.2% |
| Both teams to score | 44.2% |
| Juve Stabia over 1.5 team goals | 38.3% |
| Sudtirol over 1.5 team goals | 21.9% |
| Juve Stabia clean sheet | 41.6% |
| Sudtirol clean sheet | 26.5% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 14.1% · 1-0 13.4% · 0-0 12.3% · 2-0 9.7% · 2-1 8.5%
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Juve Stabia
- Juve Stabia are winless in their last 4 league games (D3 L1).
- Juve Stabia are unbeaten in their last 3 league games (W0 D3).
- Juve Stabia have conceded in each of their last 8 league games.
Sudtirol
- Sudtirol are unbeaten in their last 9 league games (W3 D6).
Recent form — Juve Stabia
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | D | 1-1 | Virtus Entella (A) | 1.0 - 1.3 |
| 18 Sep | D | 1-1 | Cesena (H) | — |
| 12 Sep | D | 1-1 | Vicenza Virtus (A) | — |
| 06 Sep | L | 0-3 | Pisa (H) | — |
| 29 Aug | W | 2-1 | Sampdoria (A) | 0.9 - 1.4 |
| 23 Aug | L | 0-1 | Palermo (A) | 0.8 - 1.1 |
Recent form — Sudtirol
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | D | 0-0 | Ascoli (H) | 1.2 - 0.7 |
| 20 Sep | W | 4-1 | Arezzo (A) | 1.1 - 1.7 |
| 12 Sep | D | 1-1 | Modena (H) | — |
| 05 Sep | W | 2-0 | Catanzaro (H) | 0.4 - 0.6 |
| 30 Aug | D | 1-1 | Benevento (A) | 0.6 - 2.2 |
| 22 Aug | W | 1-0 | Virtus Entella (H) | 0.7 - 0.4 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Juve Stabia
-0.38
xG diff/game · 0.91 for, 1.29 against
Sudtirol
-0.35
xG diff/game · 0.79 for, 1.13 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia | Serie B | 2026/27 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0.6 | 4–7 | DDLWL |
| Sudtirol | Serie B | 2026/27 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 2.0 | 5–2 | DWDW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia | home | Serie B | 2026/27 | 0-0-1 | 0.0 / 3.0 | 0 |
| Sudtirol | away | Serie B | 2026/27 | 0-1-0 | 1.0 / 1.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 4 meetings: Juve Stabia 2 wins, 1 draws, Sudtirol 1 wins — 2.0 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May 26 | Sudtirol | 1-1 | Juve Stabia |
| 27 Dec 25 | Juve Stabia | 1-0 | Sudtirol |