Fixture · 2. Bundesliga · Sat 10 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST
VfL Bochum
v Arminia Bielefeld
The model's read
VfL Bochum
43%
match result
Draw
27%
match result
Arminia Bielefeld
30%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance VfL Bochum or draw | 69.6% |
| Double chance Arminia Bielefeld or draw | 57.4% |
| Double chance either team | 73.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.2% |
| Both teams to score | 58.6% |
| VfL Bochum over 1.5 team goals | 46.5% |
| Arminia Bielefeld over 1.5 team goals | 37.1% |
| VfL Bochum clean sheet | 27.4% |
| Arminia Bielefeld clean sheet | 20.9% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.8% · 2-1 9.1% · 1-0 7.8% · 1-2 7.5% · 2-0 7.0%
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
VfL Bochum
- Only 1 of VfL Bochum's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
Arminia Bielefeld
- Arminia Bielefeld are winless in their last 4 league games (D2 L2).
- Arminia Bielefeld have not won any of their last 6 away league games (D0 L6).
- 5 of Arminia Bielefeld's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams have scored in each of Arminia Bielefeld's last 4 league games.
Players in form
- Joel Grodowski has scored 3 goals in 2 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — VfL Bochum
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | L | 1-2 | Hannover 96 (A) | — |
| 12 Sep | D | 1-1 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth (H) | 1.5 - 1.6 |
| 05 Sep | W | 2-1 | Dynamo Dresden (A) | 1.4 - 1.8 |
| 28 Aug | L | 0-1 | VfL Osnabrück (H) | 1.4 - 0.4 |
| 14 Aug | W | 1-0 | Eintracht Braunschweig (A) | 1.2 - 1.5 |
| 07 Aug | L | 0-1 | Hertha BSC (H) | 1.0 - 0.6 |
Recent form — Arminia Bielefeld
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | D | 2-2 | 1. FC Heidenheim (H) | — |
| 11 Sep | L | 1-2 | SV Darmstadt 98 (A) | 1.2 - 1.9 |
| 04 Sep | D | 2-2 | FC St. Pauli (H) | 1.1 - 1.0 |
| 29 Aug | L | 1-4 | 1. FC Nürnberg (A) | 1.2 - 0.9 |
| 16 Aug | W | 3-0 | Energie Cottbus (H) | 3.6 - 0.6 |
| 08 Aug | L | 1-2 | Karlsruher SC (A) | 1.2 - 1.4 |
Chance quality, most recent season
VfL Bochum
+0.11
xG diff/game · 1.32 for, 1.21 against
Arminia Bielefeld
+0.50
xG diff/game · 1.64 for, 1.15 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 1.4 | 4–4 | DWLWL |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 0.8 | 8–10 | LDLWL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Bochum | home | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 0-1-2 | 0.3 / 1.0 | 0 |
| Arminia Bielefeld | away | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 0-0-3 | 1.0 / 2.7 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: VfL Bochum 3 wins, 3 draws, Arminia Bielefeld 4 wins — 2.6 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec 25 | VfL Bochum | 1-0 | Arminia Bielefeld |